Renofa Yamaguchivs
Thespakusatsu Gunma
COMPLETEDJapan · J3 League · 9/12/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Renofa Yamaguchi · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (12%), 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Renofa Yamaguchi 2-0 Thespakusatsu Gunma
Original prediction
Renofa Yamaguchi
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.63 | 55.2% | 54.0% | -1.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 24.8% | 24.8% | -0.0 pts |
| Away | 4.49 | 20.0% | 21.2% | 1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.63 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–012%
- 2.1–112%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Renofa Yamaguchi
Probability
54.0%
Model confidence
54.0%
Renofa Yamaguchi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60