Renofa Yamaguchivs
Kochi United
COMPLETEDJapan · J3 League · 10/18/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Renofa Yamaguchi · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Renofa Yamaguchi 2-0 Kochi United, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Renofa Yamaguchi 2-0 Kochi United
Original prediction
Renofa Yamaguchi
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.45 | 60.9% | 80.3% | 19.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.86 | 22.9% | 13.6% | -9.3 pts |
| Away | 5.46 | 16.2% | 6.1% | -10.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.45 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
19.4 pts
Projected Score
Renofa Yamaguchi 2–0 Kochi United
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Renofa Yamaguchi
Probability
80.3%
Model confidence
80.3%
Renofa Yamaguchi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20