Rennesvs
Villarreal
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 12/14/2023, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rennes · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Rennes are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Villarreal are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Rennes hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (61.2 v 57.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.5% in the UEFA Europa League, while Rennes holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rennes
Probability
51.5%
Model confidence
51.5%
Rennes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40