Rennesvs
Strasbourg
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 1 · 10/25/2026, 4:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rennes · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 3-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rennes 3-0 Strasbourg
Original prediction
Rennes
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.78 | 53.5% | 55.5% | 2.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.20 | 22.6% | 19.9% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 3.98 | 23.9% | 24.6% | 0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.78 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.3–17%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Rennes
Probability
55.5%
Model confidence
55.5%
Rennes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RennesDLWWL
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
StrasbourgLLLDW
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
RennesStrasbourg
71.4Attack57.1
33.3Defence28.6
61.9Form33.3
56.9Power40.1
2.87xG1.75