Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rennes · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rennes 2-1 OFI
Original prediction
Rennes
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 06:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.20 | 79.3% | 41.4% | -37.8 pts |
| Draw | 7.04 | 13.5% | 24.1% | 10.5 pts |
| Away | 13.25 | 7.2% | 34.5% | 27.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.20 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-37.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Rennes
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
41.4%
Rennes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RennesWLLDW
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
OFILDWWW
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
RennesOFI
0.0Attack77.8
100.0Defence100.0
33.3Form100.0
45.3Power93.5
1.09xG1.67