GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 9/21/2023, 4:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rennes · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Rennes are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Maccabi Haifa are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Rennes hold a 26.5-point power-rating edge (61.2 v 34.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.3% in the UEFA Europa League, while Rennes holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rennes

Probability

64.3%

Model confidence

64.3%

Rennes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RennesDDDDW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Maccabi HaifaLWLDW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
RennesMaccabi Haifa
66.7Attack16.7
54.2Defence50.0
62.5Form27.8
61.2Power34.7
2.18xG0.84
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