Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Friday, 17 July 2026Last updated 10:01
Rennes

Rennes

Home
WL
31
Full time
Guingamp

Guingamp

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Rennes35%
Draw35%
Guingamp30%
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction correct— Result: Rennes
Win probability
Rennes
35%
Draw
35%
Guingamp
30%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Rennes
73
Guingamp
34
Defence
Rennes
46
Guingamp
6
Momentum
Rennes
50
Guingamp
0
Danger (xG)
Rennes
1.80
Guingamp
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Rennes)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Guingamp)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Rennes)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (Guingamp)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
RennesRennes
WL
GuingampGuingamp
L

Probability breakdown

38% confidence
Rennes35%
Draw35%
Guingamp30%

Rennes leads with 35% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Share this

Analysis

Match insights

Rennes head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (WL), while Guingamp arrive in mixed form (L). Rennes have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Guingamp over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Rennes's strong attack (73/100) faces a vulnerable Guingamp defence (6/100), while Guingamp's attack is up against a average Rennes backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Rennes's favour.

Rennes have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game at home. Guingamp have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per away game.

Rennes have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 4.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Rennes to win with 38% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Rennes 3518%, Draw 3500%, Guingamp 2982%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Rennes 1Draws 00 Guingamp
Avg goals: 4.0BTTS in 1/1
17 Jul 2026
Rennes
W31
Guingamp

Recent form

Rennes

Rennes

W
vs Guingamp
17 Jul 2026
31
L
vs Caen
9 Jul 2026
12
Guingamp

Guingamp

L
@ Rennes
17 Jul 2026
13

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Rennes vs Guingamp?

GoalVio's model predicts Rennes to win with 38% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Rennes vs Guingamp?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Rennes vs Guingamp?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Rennes vs Guingamp?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

Explore more predictions

About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
View full accuracy stats →
Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more