Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rennes · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Rennes are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while AC Milan are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Rennes hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (61.2 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.5% in the UEFA Europa League, while Rennes holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rennes
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
45.5%
Rennes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60