Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Triestina · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Renate are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Triestina are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Triestina hold a 12.6-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 58.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.9% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Triestina holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Triestina
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
43.9%
Triestina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60