Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Renate are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Trento are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Trento hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 49.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.4% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
47.4%
Model confidence
47.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60