GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 9/10/2023, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Renate are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (WDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while PRO Vercelli are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and PRO Vercelli hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.8% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.8%

Model confidence

39.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RenateWDLD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/4O2.5 1/4
PRO VercelliWWWLL

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
RenatePRO Vercelli
30.7Attack43.9
59.6Defence58.8
39.5Form46.5
45.5Power51.1
0.80xG0.98
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