Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Renate are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Pro Sesto are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Renate hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 41.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.5% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
48.5%
Model confidence
48.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80