GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 4/18/2025, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Renate are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Pergolettese are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.5 against 45.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.9% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.9%

Model confidence

40.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RenateDLWWW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PergoletteseLLLLL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
RenatePergolettese
30.7Attack38.6
59.6Defence56.1
39.5Form39.5
45.5Power45.8
0.86xG0.85
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