Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Padova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Renate are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Padova are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Padova hold a 19.3-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.3% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Padova holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Padova
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
48.3%
Padova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60