Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Padova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Renate are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Padova are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Padova hold a 19.3-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.3% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Padova holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Padova
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
48.3%
Padova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.20