GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 9/25/2025, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Renate are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Ospitaletto are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Ospitaletto hold a 2.3-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.4% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.4%

Model confidence

43.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RenateDLWDW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
OspitalettoLLDDL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
RenateOspitaletto
30.7Attack36.0
59.6Defence62.3
39.5Form39.5
45.5Power47.8
0.74xG0.80
View match centre →