Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
21%
HighconfidenceRenate are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Novara are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Power ratings are near level at 45.5 against 45.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Serie C - Girone A, favouring a draw with 21.4% confidence, a 32% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
21.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RenateWDWDW
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
NovaraLWLLL
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
RenateNovara
30.7Attack34.2
59.6Defence57.0
39.5Form37.7
45.5Power45.4
0.85xG0.75