Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Renate are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Novara are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.5 against 45.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60