Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mantova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Renate are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Mantova are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Mantova hold a 23.3-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.9% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Mantova holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Mantova
Probability
57.9%
Model confidence
57.9%
Mantova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40