Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Renate are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Lumezzane are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lumezzane hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 50.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40