Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Renate are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Lumezzane are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Lumezzane hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 50.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20