Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Renate are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Lecco are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.5 against 44.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.7% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
43.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.20/1.60
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80