Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Renate are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Inter U23 are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Inter U23 hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 49.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.2% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
44.2%
Model confidence
44.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40