Renatevs
Giana Erminio
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 10/11/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Renate 0-0 Giana Erminio, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Renate 2-2 Giana Erminio
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 17:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.91 | 47.5% | 37.6% | -9.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 27.9% | 32.3% | 4.4 pts |
| Away | 3.69 | 24.6% | 30.0% | 5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.25 · Draw 2.25 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.4 pts
Projected Score
Renate 0–0 Giana Erminio
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.3%
Model confidence
37.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RenateDLLDD
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Giana ErminioDDDDL
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
RenateGiana Erminio
23.8Attack23.8
57.1Defence61.9
14.3Form19.0
35.0Power38.1
0.76xG0.72