GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 1/7/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Renate · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Renate are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Fiorenzuola are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Renate hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 39.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Renate holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Renate

Probability

39.9%

Model confidence

39.9%

Renate has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RenateWLLLD

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FiorenzuolaLLDWL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
RenateFiorenzuola
30.7Attack33.3
59.6Defence45.6
39.5Form33.3
45.5Power39.9
1.09xG0.72
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