Renatevs
Dolomiti Bellunesi
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 9/17/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Renate · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Renate 0-0 Dolomiti Bellunesi
Original prediction
Renate
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.07 | 43.5% | 37.4% | -6.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.02 | 29.8% | 29.9% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.39 | 26.6% | 32.6% | 6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.02 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Renate
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Renate has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80