RenatevsDesenzano Calvina

Renate are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Desenzano Calvina are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Desenzano Calvina hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.3% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.