Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Renate · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Renate are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Clodiense are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Renate hold a 13.0-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 32.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.0% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Renate holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Renate
Probability
46.0%
Model confidence
46.0%
Renate has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00