GGOALVIO

Renate logoRenatevsCittadella logoCittadella

SCHEDULED

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 8/31/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Renate are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Cittadella are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Cittadella hold a 8.0-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 53.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Serie C - Girone A, favouring a draw with 21.1% confidence, a 32% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.5%

Model confidence

21.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RenateWDWDW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
CittadellaWLWLL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
RenateCittadella
30.7Attack39.5
59.6Defence62.3
39.5Form51.8
45.5Power53.5
0.72xG0.89
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