Renatevs
Cittadella
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 8/31/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cittadella · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Renate 0-0 Cittadella, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Renate 0-1 Cittadella
Original prediction
Cittadella
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.85 | 31.7% | 29.6% | -2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.14 | 28.8% | 30.9% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.29 | 39.5% | 39.5% | -0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.1 pts
Projected Score
Renate 0–0 Cittadella
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Cittadella
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Cittadella has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RenateLDWWD
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
CittadellaWDWLD
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
RenateCittadella
30.7Attack39.5
59.6Defence62.3
39.5Form51.8
45.5Power53.5
0.72xG0.89