GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 10/26/2024, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Renate · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Renate are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Caldiero Terme are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Renate hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 38.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.9% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Renate holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Renate

Probability

40.9%

Model confidence

40.9%

Renate has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RenateLLWLL

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Caldiero TermeDLLLL

GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
RenateCaldiero Terme
30.7Attack34.2
59.6Defence43.9
39.5Form28.9
45.5Power38.1
1.13xG0.74
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