GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 9/20/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Renate are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Atalanta II are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Atalanta II hold an 8.9-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 54.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.0% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.0%

Model confidence

44.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RenateDDWDL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Atalanta IIWDLDW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
RenateAtalanta II
30.7Attack37.7
59.6Defence68.4
39.5Form51.8
45.5Power54.4
0.61xG0.86
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