Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Renate are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Alcione are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Alcione hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 47.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.8% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
47.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80