Renatevs
Albinoleffe
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 10/25/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Albinoleffe · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Renate 0-0 Albinoleffe
Original prediction
Albinoleffe
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 October 2026 at 12:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.19 | 41.5% | 33.4% | -8.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.14 | 29.0% | 29.8% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.09 | 29.5% | 36.8% | 7.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.14 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Albinoleffe
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
Albinoleffe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00