Renate U19vs
Padova U19
COMPLETEDItaly · Campionato Primavera - 2 · 10/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Renate U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Renate U19 2-1 Padova U19
Original prediction
Renate U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 17 September 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.67 | 52.9% | 55.1% | 2.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 25.1% | 22.9% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 4.00 | 22.0% | 22.0% | -0.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.67 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Renate U19
Probability
55.1%
Model confidence
55.1%
Renate U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80