Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Palmeiras · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2
Remo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Palmeiras are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Palmeiras hold a 26.2-point power-rating edge (41.5 v 67.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.4% in the Serie A, while Palmeiras holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Palmeiras
Probability
65.4%
Model confidence
14.4%
Palmeiras has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40