Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Remo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Remo are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Mirassol are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Mirassol hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (41.5 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.5% in the Serie A, while Remo holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Remo
Probability
35.7%
Model confidence
14.5%
Remo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20