Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cruzeiro · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Remo are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Cruzeiro are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Cruzeiro hold a 9.8-point power-rating edge (41.5 v 51.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.9% in the Serie A, while Cruzeiro holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cruzeiro
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
13.9%
Cruzeiro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00