GGOALVIO

Poland · II Liga - East · 10/9/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rekord Bielsko-Biała · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Rekord Bielsko-Biała 1-1 Sandecja Nowy Sącz

Original prediction

Rekord Bielsko-Biała

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.9230.6%37.0%6.4 pts
Draw3.3826.4%28.6%2.2 pts
Away2.0843.0%34.4%-8.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.38 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

6.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–09%

Predicted outcome

Rekord Bielsko-Biała

Probability

37.0%

Model confidence

37.0%

Rekord Bielsko-Biała has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rekord Bielsko-BiałaLWWWL

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Sandecja Nowy SączLDWLL

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Rekord Bielsko-BiałaSandecja Nowy Sącz
66.7Attack50.0
66.7Defence100.0
58.3Form66.7
63.5Power71.2
1.60xG1.20
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