Reipasvs
Union Plaani
COMPLETEDFinland · Kakkonen - Lohko A · 10/3/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Reipas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (8%), 2-1 (7%), 4-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Reipas 4-0 Union Plaani
Original prediction
Reipas
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 42.1% | 46.0% | 3.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.95 | 22.9% | 25.1% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.59 | 35.0% | 28.9% | -6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.15 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–18%
- 2.2–17%
- 3.4–17%
Predicted outcome
Reipas
Probability
46.0%
Model confidence
46.0%
Reipas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ReipasWLDLL
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Union PlaaniDWWWW
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ReipasUnion Plaani
65.2Attack45.5
36.4Defence25.8
40.9Form36.4
47.1Power38.5
3.29xG1.61