GGOALVIO

Finland · Kakkonen - Lohko A · 9/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Reipas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 3-1 (7%), 3-2 (7%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Reipas 0-0 PuiU Helsinki

Original prediction

Reipas

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.6654.5%60.0%5.5 pts
Draw4.2021.5%17.1%-4.4 pts
Away3.7524.0%23.0%-1.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.20 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

5.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.3–17%
  2. 2.3–27%
  3. 3.2–17%

Predicted outcome

Reipas

Probability

60.0%

Model confidence

60.0%

Reipas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ReipasLLLLW

GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
PuiU HelsinkiLLLDD

GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
ReipasPuiU Helsinki
63.2Attack49.1
29.8Defence26.3
40.4Form28.1
45.2Power35.3
3.20xG1.90
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