Kakkonen - Lohko AKakkonen - Lohko A
Saturday, 25 July 2026Last updated 12:36
Reipas

Reipas

Home
DL
42
Full time
MyPa

MyPa

Away
WL
Lahden kisapuisto
GoalVio prediction
70% confidence
Reipas(70%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Reipas
70%
Draw
20%
MyPa
10%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Reipas
54
MyPa
34
Defence
Reipas
27
MyPa
27
Momentum
Reipas
17
MyPa
50
Danger (xG)
Reipas
1.35
MyPa
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Reipas)
1.35
avg per match
xG for (MyPa)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Reipas)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (MyPa)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
ReipasReipas
DLW
MyPaMyPa
WLLD

Probability breakdown

70% confidence
Reipas70%
Draw20%
MyPa10%

Reipas leads with 70% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Reipas head into this in Kakkonen - Lohko A fixture at Lahden kisapuisto in mixed form (DL), while MyPa arrive in mixed form (WL). Reipas have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 50% for MyPa over 2 games.

The model rates Reipas's attack at 54/100 against a 27/100 MyPa defence, and MyPa's attack at 34/100 against a 27/100 Reipas backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Reipas have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per home match. MyPa have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 0.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per away game.

Reipas have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 5.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Reipas to win with 70% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Reipas 7010%, Draw 2012%, MyPa 979%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Reipas 1Draws 00 MyPa
Avg goals: 5.0
16 May 2026
Reipas
W50
MyPa

Recent form

Reipas

Reipas

D
vs HIFK Helsinki
12 Jul 2026
11
L
@ HPS
4 Jul 2026
23
W
@ MyPa
16 May 2026
50
MyPa

MyPa

W
vs Union Plaani
11 Jul 2026
20
L
@ HIFK Helsinki
4 Jul 2026
04
L
vs Reipas
16 May 2026
05
D
@ KäPa
13 May 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Reipas vs MyPa?

GoalVio's model predicts Reipas to win with 70% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Reipas vs MyPa?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Reipas vs MyPa?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Reipas vs MyPa?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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