Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kooteepee · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Reipas are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Kooteepee are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Kooteepee hold a 16.5-point power-rating edge (33.8 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Kooteepee holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kooteepee
Probability
36.5%
Model confidence
36.5%
Kooteepee has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80