Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kiffen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Reipas are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Kiffen are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Kiffen hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (51.2 v 64.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.1% in the Kakkonen - Lohko A, while Kiffen holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 82% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kiffen
Probability
49.9%
Model confidence
7.1%
Kiffen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20