GGOALVIO

Finland · Kakkonen - Lohko A · 5/12/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Reipas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Reipas are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (DWW), averaging 2.67 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Atlantis II are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (LWW), averaging 2.33 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Reipas hold a 7.8-point power-rating edge (51.2 v 43.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.5% in the Kakkonen - Lohko A, while Reipas holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Reipas

Probability

60.5%

Model confidence

60.5%

Reipas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ReipasDWW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 2.67/1.33

BTTS 3/3O2.5 3/3
Atlantis IILWW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 2.33/1.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
ReipasAtlantis II
70.8Attack30.3
33.3Defence51.5
47.9Form40.9
51.2Power43.3
2.34xG1.12
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