Reimsvs
Montpellier
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 2 · 9/18/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Reims · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (14%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Reims 1-1 Montpellier
Original prediction
Reims
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 16:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.09 | 44.5% | 47.3% | 2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 28.6% | 27.3% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.45 | 26.9% | 25.4% | -1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.25 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–014%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Reims
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
47.3%
Reims has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ReimsWDWWD
GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
MontpellierWLDWW
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
ReimsMontpellier
77.8Attack27.8
55.6Defence77.8
66.7Form61.1
67.7Power58.7
1.40xG0.84