Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Reims · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Reims 2-2 Guingamp
Original prediction
Reims
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.78 | 52.2% | 52.0% | -0.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 25.8% | 24.9% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 4.24 | 22.0% | 23.1% | 1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.62 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Reims
Probability
52.0%
Model confidence
52.0%
Reims has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ReimsWWDDW
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
GuingampDLWLD
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ReimsGuingamp
83.3Attack41.7
58.3Defence50.0
66.7Form33.3
69.5Power44.6
1.91xG0.99