Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Reims · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Reims 4-2 Dijon
Original prediction
Reims
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.75 | 53.0% | 44.9% | -8.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 24.6% | 27.5% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 4.14 | 22.4% | 27.6% | 5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.75 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Reims
Probability
44.9%
Model confidence
44.9%
Reims has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ReimsDLDWD
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
DijonWDWWD
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
ReimsDijon
62.5Attack58.3
62.5Defence50.0
58.3Form50.0
62.4Power55.1
1.91xG1.17