Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Reggiana · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Reggiana are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 3.50 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Pescara are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 5.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 3 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Reggiana hold a 45.0-point power-rating edge (68.7 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.4% in the Coppa Italia, while Reggiana holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Reggiana
Probability
56.4%
Model confidence
56.4%
Reggiana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 3.50/0.50
GF 0 · GA 5 · avg 0.00/5.00