Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Reggiana · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Reggiana 1-0 Latina
Original prediction
Reggiana
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 18:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.84 | 49.4% | 40.5% | -8.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 27.4% | 29.1% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 3.91 | 23.2% | 30.4% | 7.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.84 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Reggiana
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Reggiana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ReggianaWDWWD
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
LatinaDLWWL
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
ReggianaLatina
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.24xG1.06