Regar-TadAZvs
Al Qadsia
COMPLETEDWorld · AFC Challenge League · 10/20/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Qadsia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Regar-TadAZ 0-1 Al Qadsia
Original prediction
Al Qadsia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 12:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.20 | 21.7% | 36.0% | 14.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.8% | 26.9% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 1.74 | 52.5% | 37.1% | -15.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.74 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–07%
Predicted outcome
Al Qadsia
Probability
37.1%
Model confidence
37.1%
Al Qadsia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60